Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on July 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 23?
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 23, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 23, 2026
67°F or below
$133 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$235 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$44 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$119 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$250 KL.
7%
76-77°F
$303 KL.
35%
78-79°F
$142 KL.
40%
80-81°F
$51 KL.
19%
82-83°F
$36 KL.
3%
84-85°F
$33 KL.
1%
86°F or higher
$150 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,497Ngày kết thúc
Jul 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,497Ngày kết thúc
Jul 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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