Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a weak high-pressure ridge over southern England with light southerly flow, creating tight competition between 24–26°C outcomes for London’s July 22 maximum. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertain cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping probabilities for 25°C and 26°C nearly even at 24.5% and 27.5%. Historical July averages near 23°C provide baseline context, while traders weigh potential daytime heating under clearer spells against modest Atlantic moisture that could cap temperatures. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these closely matched market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on July 22?
Highest temperature in London on July 22?
26°C 36%
25°C 32%
24°C 20%
27°C 8%
MỚI
$11,863 KL.
MỚI
$11,863 KL.
Jul 22, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
20%
25°C
32%
26°C
36%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
25°C 32%
24°C 20%
27°C 8%
MỚI
$11,863 KL.
MỚI
$11,863 KL.
Jul 22, 2026
20°C or below
$135 KL.
<1%
21°C
$306 KL.
<1%
22°C
$563 KL.
1%
23°C
$310 KL.
3%
24°C
$4,407 KL.
20%
25°C
$617 KL.
32%
26°C
$917 KL.
36%
27°C
$2,274 KL.
8%
28°C
$848 KL.
2%
29°C
$1,289 KL.
1%
30°C or higher
$198 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a weak high-pressure ridge over southern England with light southerly flow, creating tight competition between 24–26°C outcomes for London’s July 22 maximum. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertain cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping probabilities for 25°C and 26°C nearly even at 24.5% and 27.5%. Historical July averages near 23°C provide baseline context, while traders weigh potential daytime heating under clearer spells against modest Atlantic moisture that could cap temperatures. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these closely matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,863Ngày kết thúc
Jul 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a weak high-pressure ridge over southern England with light southerly flow, creating tight competition between 24–26°C outcomes for London’s July 22 maximum. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertain cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping probabilities for 25°C and 26°C nearly even at 24.5% and 27.5%. Historical July averages near 23°C provide baseline context, while traders weigh potential daytime heating under clearer spells against modest Atlantic moisture that could cap temperatures. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these closely matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,863Ngày kết thúc
Jul 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a weak high-pressure ridge over southern England with light southerly flow, creating tight competition between 24–26°C outcomes for London’s July 22 maximum. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertain cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping probabilities for 25°C and 26°C nearly even at 24.5% and 27.5%. Historical July averages near 23°C provide baseline context, while traders weigh potential daytime heating under clearer spells against modest Atlantic moisture that could cap temperatures. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these closely matched market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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