The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on July 21?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 21?
31°C 38%
30°C 31%
29°C 15%
32°C 14.0%
MỚI
$49,777 KL.
MỚI
$49,777 KL.
Jul 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
31%
31°C
38%
32°C
14%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 31%
29°C 15%
32°C 14.0%
MỚI
$49,777 KL.
MỚI
$49,777 KL.
Jul 21, 2026
24°C or below
$431 KL.
<1%
25°C
$4,165 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,972 KL.
1%
27°C
$3,452 KL.
1%
28°C
$6,411 KL.
3%
29°C
$4,450 KL.
15%
30°C
$8,023 KL.
31%
31°C
$9,957 KL.
38%
32°C
$6,297 KL.
14%
33°C
$2,602 KL.
1%
34°C or higher
$2,017 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$49,777Ngày kết thúc
Jul 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$49,777Ngày kết thúc
Jul 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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