Recent KMA observations and medium-range guidance indicate Seoul will remain under a persistent high-pressure pattern with daytime highs several degrees above the July climatological average of ~29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to light winds, elevated humidity, and modest cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the daily maximum near 28–29°C, while any clearing or delayed precipitation raises the chance of reaching 30°C or higher. The 1–2°C spread among leading outcomes reflects typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and local urban heat-island effects two days ahead of resolution, with updated short-range model runs from KMA and global ensembles expected to narrow the range before July 21.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on July 21?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 21?
27°C 57%
28°C 30%
29°C 14%
30°C 1.3%
MỚI
$107,065 KL.
MỚI
$107,065 KL.
Jul 21, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
57%
28°C
30%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 57%
28°C 30%
29°C 14%
30°C 1.3%
MỚI
$107,065 KL.
MỚI
$107,065 KL.
Jul 21, 2026
21°C or below
$440 KL.
<1%
22°C
$408 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,101 KL.
<1%
24°C
$13,166 KL.
<1%
25°C
$22,513 KL.
<1%
26°C
$19,226 KL.
<1%
27°C
$7,296 KL.
57%
28°C
$5,155 KL.
30%
29°C
$11,998 KL.
14%
30°C
$14,253 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$11,516 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA observations and medium-range guidance indicate Seoul will remain under a persistent high-pressure pattern with daytime highs several degrees above the July climatological average of ~29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to light winds, elevated humidity, and modest cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the daily maximum near 28–29°C, while any clearing or delayed precipitation raises the chance of reaching 30°C or higher. The 1–2°C spread among leading outcomes reflects typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and local urban heat-island effects two days ahead of resolution, with updated short-range model runs from KMA and global ensembles expected to narrow the range before July 21.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$107,065Ngày kết thúc
Jul 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA observations and medium-range guidance indicate Seoul will remain under a persistent high-pressure pattern with daytime highs several degrees above the July climatological average of ~29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to light winds, elevated humidity, and modest cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the daily maximum near 28–29°C, while any clearing or delayed precipitation raises the chance of reaching 30°C or higher. The 1–2°C spread among leading outcomes reflects typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and local urban heat-island effects two days ahead of resolution, with updated short-range model runs from KMA and global ensembles expected to narrow the range before July 21.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$107,065Ngày kết thúc
Jul 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA observations and medium-range guidance indicate Seoul will remain under a persistent high-pressure pattern with daytime highs several degrees above the July climatological average of ~29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to light winds, elevated humidity, and modest cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the daily maximum near 28–29°C, while any clearing or delayed precipitation raises the chance of reaching 30°C or higher. The 1–2°C spread among leading outcomes reflects typical forecast uncertainty in peak temperature timing and local urban heat-island effects two days ahead of resolution, with updated short-range model runs from KMA and global ensembles expected to narrow the range before July 21.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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