Official National Weather Service guidance points to thunderstorms likely on July 3 after an intense heat wave that produced record 2026 highs near 94°F earlier in the week, with an extreme heat warning ending at midnight. Model consensus shows a frontal boundary and increased cloud cover/storm activity arriving Friday, which would limit peak heating by enhancing mixing, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation compared to recent sunny conditions. This setup favors a daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the spread among 88–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in storm timing, coverage, and exact steering flow. Normal July highs near 84°F provide climatological context, while trader positioning weights the balance between lingering warm advection and the expected relief. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 2 evening remain key inputs before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on July 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 3?
88-89°F 60%
90-91°F 25%
86-87°F 9%
92-93°F 5.2%
$46,141 KL.
$46,141 KL.
Jul 3, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
58%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 60%
90-91°F 25%
86-87°F 9%
92-93°F 5.2%
$46,141 KL.
$46,141 KL.
Jul 3, 2026
77°F or below
$1,230 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,146 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$3,590 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$11,609 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$5,866 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,906 KL.
9%
88-89°F
$5,395 KL.
58%
90-91°F
$6,165 KL.
28%
92-93°F
$3,242 KL.
5%
94-95°F
$1,658 KL.
1%
96°F or higher
$2,334 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance points to thunderstorms likely on July 3 after an intense heat wave that produced record 2026 highs near 94°F earlier in the week, with an extreme heat warning ending at midnight. Model consensus shows a frontal boundary and increased cloud cover/storm activity arriving Friday, which would limit peak heating by enhancing mixing, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation compared to recent sunny conditions. This setup favors a daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the spread among 88–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in storm timing, coverage, and exact steering flow. Normal July highs near 84°F provide climatological context, while trader positioning weights the balance between lingering warm advection and the expected relief. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 2 evening remain key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$46,141Ngày kết thúc
Jul 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance points to thunderstorms likely on July 3 after an intense heat wave that produced record 2026 highs near 94°F earlier in the week, with an extreme heat warning ending at midnight. Model consensus shows a frontal boundary and increased cloud cover/storm activity arriving Friday, which would limit peak heating by enhancing mixing, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation compared to recent sunny conditions. This setup favors a daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the spread among 88–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in storm timing, coverage, and exact steering flow. Normal July highs near 84°F provide climatological context, while trader positioning weights the balance between lingering warm advection and the expected relief. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 2 evening remain key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$46,141Ngày kết thúc
Jul 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance points to thunderstorms likely on July 3 after an intense heat wave that produced record 2026 highs near 94°F earlier in the week, with an extreme heat warning ending at midnight. Model consensus shows a frontal boundary and increased cloud cover/storm activity arriving Friday, which would limit peak heating by enhancing mixing, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation compared to recent sunny conditions. This setup favors a daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the spread among 88–91°F bins reflecting uncertainty in storm timing, coverage, and exact steering flow. Normal July highs near 84°F provide climatological context, while trader positioning weights the balance between lingering warm advection and the expected relief. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 2 evening remain key inputs before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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