Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on July 3?
96-97°F 70%
98-99°F 16%
100-101°F 9.2%
94-95°F 7%
$61,309 KL.
$61,309 KL.
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
70%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 70%
98-99°F 16%
100-101°F 9.2%
94-95°F 7%
$61,309 KL.
$61,309 KL.
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
70%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp