Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Denver on July 3 points to surface high pressure and downslope warming supporting afternoon highs near 90–93 °F, keeping the market tightly split between the 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F bins. Persistent above-average temperatures across the central Rockies this week, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and dry boundary-layer air, have raised baseline heat but leave room for modest cooling from any late-day cumulus or isolated convection that could limit peak insolation. With climatological July normals near 89–92 °F and model spread still spanning roughly 3–4 °F, traders are weighting the most probable range while awaiting the final 00Z and 12Z runs plus the NWS afternoon update that will resolve the exact maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Denver on July 3?
92-93°F 43%
90-91°F 33%
94-95°F 17%
88-89°F 9%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
17%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 43%
90-91°F 33%
94-95°F 17%
88-89°F 9%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
17%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Denver on July 3 points to surface high pressure and downslope warming supporting afternoon highs near 90–93 °F, keeping the market tightly split between the 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F bins. Persistent above-average temperatures across the central Rockies this week, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and dry boundary-layer air, have raised baseline heat but leave room for modest cooling from any late-day cumulus or isolated convection that could limit peak insolation. With climatological July normals near 89–92 °F and model spread still spanning roughly 3–4 °F, traders are weighting the most probable range while awaiting the final 00Z and 12Z runs plus the NWS afternoon update that will resolve the exact maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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