Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 13?
31°C 32%
32°C 31%
33°C 27%
30°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 13, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
32%
32°C
31%
33°C
25%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 31%
33°C 27%
30°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 13, 2026
27°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
28°C
$34 KL.
1%
29°C
$8 KL.
6%
30°C
$33 KL.
16%
31°C
$76 KL.
32%
32°C
$35 KL.
31%
33°C
$15 KL.
25%
34°C
$0 KL.
7%
35°C
$5 KL.
<1%
36°C
$0 KL.
1%
37°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$196Ngày kết thúc
Jul 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$196Ngày kết thúc
Jul 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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