Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical weather prediction runs project a daytime high in Jeddah on September 7 near 36–37°C, with limited diurnal cooling from Red Sea moisture and light westerly winds. This aligns closely with September climatology, where average maxima hover around 35–37°C amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits between the 36°C (40%) and 37°C (37%) outcomes due to small uncertainties in peak timing, exact wind shifts, and localized urban heat effects that could nudge readings by 1°C. Model runs show low precipitation risk and steady subsidence, keeping extremes below 38°C unlikely without unexpected warming aloft. Updated guidance from 48-hour forecasts will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 7?
36°C 40%
37°C 37%
38°C 11%
35°C 10%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
40%
37°C
37%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 40%
37°C 37%
38°C 11%
35°C 10%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
40%
37°C
37%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical weather prediction runs project a daytime high in Jeddah on September 7 near 36–37°C, with limited diurnal cooling from Red Sea moisture and light westerly winds. This aligns closely with September climatology, where average maxima hover around 35–37°C amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits between the 36°C (40%) and 37°C (37%) outcomes due to small uncertainties in peak timing, exact wind shifts, and localized urban heat effects that could nudge readings by 1°C. Model runs show low precipitation risk and steady subsidence, keeping extremes below 38°C unlikely without unexpected warming aloft. Updated guidance from 48-hour forecasts will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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