Recent Met Office guidance places London's maximum temperature on August 4 around 28°C under increasingly unsettled conditions with a risk of showers, following peak warmth earlier in the week. Ensemble model consensus and regional forecasts support a narrow band near 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting typical early-August variability and moderating high pressure. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current soil moisture and humidity levels could influence observed maxima at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 4?
Highest temperature in London on August 4?
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 22%
26°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
22%
28°C
30%
29°C
41%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 22%
26°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
25°C or below
$86 KL.
3%
26°C
$66 KL.
8%
27°C
$110 KL.
22%
28°C
$104 KL.
30%
29°C
$552 KL.
41%
30°C
$25 KL.
4%
31°C
$25 KL.
2%
32°C
$32 KL.
2%
33°C
$45 KL.
1%
34°C
$30 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$30 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance places London's maximum temperature on August 4 around 28°C under increasingly unsettled conditions with a risk of showers, following peak warmth earlier in the week. Ensemble model consensus and regional forecasts support a narrow band near 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting typical early-August variability and moderating high pressure. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current soil moisture and humidity levels could influence observed maxima at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,103Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance places London's maximum temperature on August 4 around 28°C under increasingly unsettled conditions with a risk of showers, following peak warmth earlier in the week. Ensemble model consensus and regional forecasts support a narrow band near 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting typical early-August variability and moderating high pressure. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current soil moisture and humidity levels could influence observed maxima at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,103Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance places London's maximum temperature on August 4 around 28°C under increasingly unsettled conditions with a risk of showers, following peak warmth earlier in the week. Ensemble model consensus and regional forecasts support a narrow band near 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting typical early-August variability and moderating high pressure. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, while current soil moisture and humidity levels could influence observed maxima at official stations. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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