Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate an overnight minimum near 18°C in London on August 3, establishing that outcome as the market leader at 53% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average warmth through early August have elevated typical seasonal lows (around 14°C climatological average), with ensemble guidance showing limited cooling overnight under light winds and clear conditions. Minor model spread supports the secondary probabilities clustered at 17–19°C, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated model runs and official guidance issued over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed value ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 3?
Lowest temperature in London on August 3?
18°C 54%
17°C 26%
19°C 23%
20°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
26%
18°C
54%
19°C
23%
20°C
10%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 54%
17°C 26%
19°C 23%
20°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
14°C or below
$62 KL.
1%
15°C
$0 KL.
5%
16°C
$5 KL.
8%
17°C
$8 KL.
26%
18°C
$5 KL.
54%
19°C
$0 KL.
23%
20°C
$1 KL.
10%
21°C
$52 KL.
5%
22°C
$47 KL.
1%
23°C
$32 KL.
1%
24°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate an overnight minimum near 18°C in London on August 3, establishing that outcome as the market leader at 53% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average warmth through early August have elevated typical seasonal lows (around 14°C climatological average), with ensemble guidance showing limited cooling overnight under light winds and clear conditions. Minor model spread supports the secondary probabilities clustered at 17–19°C, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated model runs and official guidance issued over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$211Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate an overnight minimum near 18°C in London on August 3, establishing that outcome as the market leader at 53% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average warmth through early August have elevated typical seasonal lows (around 14°C climatological average), with ensemble guidance showing limited cooling overnight under light winds and clear conditions. Minor model spread supports the secondary probabilities clustered at 17–19°C, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated model runs and official guidance issued over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$211Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate an overnight minimum near 18°C in London on August 3, establishing that outcome as the market leader at 53% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average warmth through early August have elevated typical seasonal lows (around 14°C climatological average), with ensemble guidance showing limited cooling overnight under light winds and clear conditions. Minor model spread supports the secondary probabilities clustered at 17–19°C, while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated model runs and official guidance issued over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed value ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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