Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 3 maximum temperature centers on official South African Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 23°C under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate easterly to southerly winds. These maritime flows typically moderate daytime warming by advecting cooler air from the Atlantic, keeping readings close to the seasonal average of 17–20°C while limiting bergwind episodes that could push values higher. Model consensus remains tight around 21–23°C because cloud cover and wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, with lower outcomes favored only if stronger onshore flow develops. Updated SAWS briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 3?
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C 24%
24°C 12%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
11%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
24%
24°C
12%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C 24%
24°C 12%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
11%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
24%
24°C
12%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 3 maximum temperature centers on official South African Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 23°C under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate easterly to southerly winds. These maritime flows typically moderate daytime warming by advecting cooler air from the Atlantic, keeping readings close to the seasonal average of 17–20°C while limiting bergwind episodes that could push values higher. Model consensus remains tight around 21–23°C because cloud cover and wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, with lower outcomes favored only if stronger onshore flow develops. Updated SAWS briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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