Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 29°C in Shenzhen on August 3, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, but recent subseasonal outlooks suggest slightly cooler-than-normal conditions across southern China due to enhanced moisture. Traders monitor daily CMA updates and regional model consensus for revisions ahead of the August 3 observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 3?
29°C 32%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
24%
29°C
32%
30°C
22%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
23°C or below
$489 KL.
<1%
24°C
$509 KL.
<1%
25°C
$198 KL.
2%
26°C
$112 KL.
4%
27°C
$115 KL.
9%
28°C
$130 KL.
24%
29°C
$138 KL.
32%
30°C
$99 KL.
22%
31°C
$209 KL.
11%
32°C
$128 KL.
5%
33°C or higher
$1,754 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 29°C in Shenzhen on August 3, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, but recent subseasonal outlooks suggest slightly cooler-than-normal conditions across southern China due to enhanced moisture. Traders monitor daily CMA updates and regional model consensus for revisions ahead of the August 3 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,882Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 29°C in Shenzhen on August 3, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, but recent subseasonal outlooks suggest slightly cooler-than-normal conditions across southern China due to enhanced moisture. Traders monitor daily CMA updates and regional model consensus for revisions ahead of the August 3 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,882Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 29°C in Shenzhen on August 3, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, but recent subseasonal outlooks suggest slightly cooler-than-normal conditions across southern China due to enhanced moisture. Traders monitor daily CMA updates and regional model consensus for revisions ahead of the August 3 observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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