National Weather Service forecasts and an active heat advisory through July 16 point to a daily high near 80–82°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the official resolution site, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 38.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating coastal maxima despite broader Southern California warmth, keeping extremes below inland peaks of 90°F+. July climatology shows average LAX highs around 75–78°F with occasional spikes to the mid-80s during offshore wind events, but current model consensus favors stable conditions without significant warming tomorrow. Updated NWS and NOAA guidance ahead of the July 16 close will refine the final range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 16?
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 23%
84-85°F 7.0%
77°F or below
5%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 23%
84-85°F 7.0%
77°F or below
5%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and an active heat advisory through July 16 point to a daily high near 80–82°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the official resolution site, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 38.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating coastal maxima despite broader Southern California warmth, keeping extremes below inland peaks of 90°F+. July climatology shows average LAX highs around 75–78°F with occasional spikes to the mid-80s during offshore wind events, but current model consensus favors stable conditions without significant warming tomorrow. Updated NWS and NOAA guidance ahead of the July 16 close will refine the final range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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