National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high near 93°F on July 12 under mostly sunny subtropical conditions, with light southeast winds and minimal organized convection. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence along the coast remains the key variable that could initiate scattered showers or clouds, potentially capping the peak one to two degrees below model guidance and supporting the close 92–93°F versus 94–95°F market split. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and recent regional heat provide modest upward pressure, yet typical July climatology (average high near 89–90°F) and historical sea-breeze suppression keep higher brackets at low implied odds. Updated model runs and NHC marine guidance expected overnight will refine the final range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on July 12?
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 45%
90-91°F 8%
96-97°F 2.9%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
45%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 45%
90-91°F 8%
96-97°F 2.9%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
45%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high near 93°F on July 12 under mostly sunny subtropical conditions, with light southeast winds and minimal organized convection. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence along the coast remains the key variable that could initiate scattered showers or clouds, potentially capping the peak one to two degrees below model guidance and supporting the close 92–93°F versus 94–95°F market split. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and recent regional heat provide modest upward pressure, yet typical July climatology (average high near 89–90°F) and historical sea-breeze suppression keep higher brackets at low implied odds. Updated model runs and NHC marine guidance expected overnight will refine the final range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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