Trader consensus in this Moscow July 11 temperature market centers on ensemble forecast spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which currently indicate daily highs most likely between 23–26 °C amid a transitional airmass with moderate westerly flow. Recent model runs have shown modest tightening around 24–25 °C, reflecting limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and no strong warm advection. Historical July climatology places average highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current implied probabilities for the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Uncertainty persists from potential variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and small steering shifts that could tip the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Roshydromet updates and final 48-hour model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on July 11?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 11?
24°C 33%
23°C 24%
25°C 21%
26°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
24%
24°C
33%
25°C
21%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
23°C 24%
25°C 21%
26°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 11, 2026
18°C or below
$190 KL.
<1%
19°C
$355 KL.
<1%
20°C
$295 KL.
1%
21°C
$562 KL.
2%
22°C
$305 KL.
6%
23°C
$189 KL.
24%
24°C
$236 KL.
33%
25°C
$430 KL.
21%
26°C
$327 KL.
14%
27°C
$290 KL.
3%
28°C or higher
$251 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Moscow July 11 temperature market centers on ensemble forecast spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which currently indicate daily highs most likely between 23–26 °C amid a transitional airmass with moderate westerly flow. Recent model runs have shown modest tightening around 24–25 °C, reflecting limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and no strong warm advection. Historical July climatology places average highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current implied probabilities for the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Uncertainty persists from potential variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and small steering shifts that could tip the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Roshydromet updates and final 48-hour model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,431Ngày kết thúc
Jul 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Moscow July 11 temperature market centers on ensemble forecast spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which currently indicate daily highs most likely between 23–26 °C amid a transitional airmass with moderate westerly flow. Recent model runs have shown modest tightening around 24–25 °C, reflecting limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and no strong warm advection. Historical July climatology places average highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current implied probabilities for the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Uncertainty persists from potential variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and small steering shifts that could tip the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Roshydromet updates and final 48-hour model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,431Ngày kết thúc
Jul 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this Moscow July 11 temperature market centers on ensemble forecast spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which currently indicate daily highs most likely between 23–26 °C amid a transitional airmass with moderate westerly flow. Recent model runs have shown modest tightening around 24–25 °C, reflecting limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and no strong warm advection. Historical July climatology places average highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current implied probabilities for the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Uncertainty persists from potential variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and small steering shifts that could tip the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Roshydromet updates and final 48-hour model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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