Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking near the June solstice, with Paris highs projected at 36–38°C on June 21 under clear skies, light winds, and dry high-pressure conditions that maximize daytime solar heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, while the historical record high of 37.1°C sets a plausible ceiling. Minor divergences arise from potential thin afternoon cloud development or slight variations in wind direction that could trim or enhance the peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on June 21?
37°C 37%
36°C 33%
38°C 21%
39°C 5.2%
$14,656 KL.
$14,656 KL.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
33%
37°C
37%
38°C
21%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 37%
36°C 33%
38°C 21%
39°C 5.2%
$14,656 KL.
$14,656 KL.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
33%
37°C
37%
38°C
21%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking near the June solstice, with Paris highs projected at 36–38°C on June 21 under clear skies, light winds, and dry high-pressure conditions that maximize daytime solar heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, while the historical record high of 37.1°C sets a plausible ceiling. Minor divergences arise from potential thin afternoon cloud development or slight variations in wind direction that could trim or enhance the peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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