**Trader consensus centers on 34°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on June 21, reflecting official forecast models showing typical early-summer coastal conditions.** AccuWeather and Weatherspark data place expected daily highs near 33–35°C, consistent with Karachi’s June climatology of roughly 34°C average maxima. The city’s Arabian Sea location drives persistent sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite high humidity, while pre-monsoon steering patterns and recent model runs show no strong heat-wave setup for the 21st. Probability mass clusters at 34–35°C because these values align with both historical baselines and current guidance; outcomes above 36°C or below 33°C receive lower weight absent signals of anomalous warming or enhanced marine cooling. Updated NHC/PMD guidance and the next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on June 21?
34°C 45%
35°C 34%
36°C 11%
33°C 9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
45%
35°C
34%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 45%
35°C 34%
36°C 11%
33°C 9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
45%
35°C
34%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 19, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 34°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on June 21, reflecting official forecast models showing typical early-summer coastal conditions.** AccuWeather and Weatherspark data place expected daily highs near 33–35°C, consistent with Karachi’s June climatology of roughly 34°C average maxima. The city’s Arabian Sea location drives persistent sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite high humidity, while pre-monsoon steering patterns and recent model runs show no strong heat-wave setup for the 21st. Probability mass clusters at 34–35°C because these values align with both historical baselines and current guidance; outcomes above 36°C or below 33°C receive lower weight absent signals of anomalous warming or enhanced marine cooling. Updated NHC/PMD guidance and the next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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