Recent Met Office forecasts highlight building high pressure and warm southerly flow across southern England, sustaining above-average overnight minima into the June 21 weekend amid a broader heat episode with daytime peaks potentially reaching the low 30s. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered near 18–19 °C, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities, as reduced radiative cooling under hazy or partly cloudy skies limits drops compared with typical June values around 12–14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to variable cloud and light winds, keeping lower outcomes (17 °C or below) and higher ones (20 °C+) as secondary possibilities while the current warm anomaly dominates trader positioning ahead of the next model updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on June 21?
19°C 41%
18°C 35%
17°C 6%
20°C 5.5%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
35%
19°C
41%
20°C
11%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 35%
17°C 6%
20°C 5.5%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
35%
19°C
41%
20°C
11%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts highlight building high pressure and warm southerly flow across southern England, sustaining above-average overnight minima into the June 21 weekend amid a broader heat episode with daytime peaks potentially reaching the low 30s. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered near 18–19 °C, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities, as reduced radiative cooling under hazy or partly cloudy skies limits drops compared with typical June values around 12–14 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to variable cloud and light winds, keeping lower outcomes (17 °C or below) and higher ones (20 °C+) as secondary possibilities while the current warm anomaly dominates trader positioning ahead of the next model updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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