Recent forecasts for Manila indicate typical early southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, isolated afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate humidity expected to moderate peak temperatures around 32–34°C on June 21. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and PAGASA aligns with seasonal averages near 32°C, though localized breaks in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow brief spikes toward 35–36°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values due to the inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasts, where small shifts in steering winds, moisture influx, or rainfall timing differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical June maxima in Metro Manila rarely exceed 35°C under active monsoon influence, supporting the market's emphasis on near-term observational updates from official monitoring agencies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on June 21?
34°C 36%
35°C 31%
33°C 15%
36°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
15%
34°C
36%
35°C
31%
36°C
12%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 36%
35°C 31%
33°C 15%
36°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
15%
34°C
36%
35°C
31%
36°C
12%
37°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 19, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila indicate typical early southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, isolated afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate humidity expected to moderate peak temperatures around 32–34°C on June 21. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and PAGASA aligns with seasonal averages near 32°C, though localized breaks in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow brief spikes toward 35–36°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values due to the inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasts, where small shifts in steering winds, moisture influx, or rainfall timing differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical June maxima in Metro Manila rarely exceed 35°C under active monsoon influence, supporting the market's emphasis on near-term observational updates from official monitoring agencies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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