Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?
31°C 37%
30°C 29%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
MỚI
$13,848 KL.
MỚI
$13,848 KL.
Jun 19, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
37%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
30°C 29%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
MỚI
$13,848 KL.
MỚI
$13,848 KL.
Jun 19, 2026
25°C or below
$485 KL.
<1%
26°C
$185 KL.
<1%
27°C
$922 KL.
1%
28°C
$966 KL.
3%
29°C
$1,411 KL.
16%
30°C
$3,525 KL.
29%
31°C
$2,677 KL.
37%
32°C
$1,278 KL.
18%
33°C
$1,013 KL.
3%
34°C
$503 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$882 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,848Ngày kết thúc
Jun 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$13,848Ngày kết thúc
Jun 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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