Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models show Paris maximum temperatures on June 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 30s °C under building high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight market split between 32 °C and 34 °C bins. A warming trend after mid-week rain has increased surface heating potential, with light winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon peaks near 32–33 °C as the leading outcomes. Model spread of roughly ±1–2 °C around these values reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures and exact cloud cover, while historical June averages near 24 °C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on June 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 17?
32°C 31%
33°C 27%
34°C 22%
31°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
31%
33°C
27%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 31%
33°C 27%
34°C 22%
31°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 17, 2026
27°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
28°C
$0 KL.
1%
29°C
$0 KL.
2%
30°C
$0 KL.
2%
31°C
$154 KL.
10%
32°C
$217 KL.
31%
33°C
$29 KL.
27%
34°C
$57 KL.
22%
35°C
$18 KL.
6%
36°C
$0 KL.
1%
37°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models show Paris maximum temperatures on June 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 30s °C under building high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight market split between 32 °C and 34 °C bins. A warming trend after mid-week rain has increased surface heating potential, with light winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon peaks near 32–33 °C as the leading outcomes. Model spread of roughly ±1–2 °C around these values reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures and exact cloud cover, while historical June averages near 24 °C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$250Ngày kết thúc
Jun 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models show Paris maximum temperatures on June 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 30s °C under building high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight market split between 32 °C and 34 °C bins. A warming trend after mid-week rain has increased surface heating potential, with light winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon peaks near 32–33 °C as the leading outcomes. Model spread of roughly ±1–2 °C around these values reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures and exact cloud cover, while historical June averages near 24 °C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$250Ngày kết thúc
Jun 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models show Paris maximum temperatures on June 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 30s °C under building high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight market split between 32 °C and 34 °C bins. A warming trend after mid-week rain has increased surface heating potential, with light winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon peaks near 32–33 °C as the leading outcomes. Model spread of roughly ±1–2 °C around these values reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures and exact cloud cover, while historical June averages near 24 °C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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