Current MetService guidance and supporting model runs point to a 16°C maximum for Wellington on June 15 under northerly flow ahead of an approaching front, driving the market’s concentration on 16°C (40%) and 17°C (52.5%). Northerly advection of milder maritime air typically lifts winter maxima 2–4°C above the 13°C June climatological average, while the timing of the front’s passage introduces uncertainty that favors the upper end of the narrow 15–17°C range. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with minimal risk of southerly cooling or clear-sky radiative warming pushing values outside this window before resolution. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 53%
16°C 40%
18°C 7%
15°C 2.6%
MỚI
$15,399 KL.
MỚI
$15,399 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
40%
17°C
53%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 53%
16°C 40%
18°C 7%
15°C 2.6%
MỚI
$15,399 KL.
MỚI
$15,399 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
$167 KL.
<1%
12°C
$365 KL.
<1%
13°C
$2,254 KL.
<1%
14°C
$3,051 KL.
<1%
15°C
$2,529 KL.
3%
16°C
$1,047 KL.
40%
17°C
$2,529 KL.
53%
18°C
$1,605 KL.
7%
19°C
$875 KL.
1%
20°C
$716 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$357 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService guidance and supporting model runs point to a 16°C maximum for Wellington on June 15 under northerly flow ahead of an approaching front, driving the market’s concentration on 16°C (40%) and 17°C (52.5%). Northerly advection of milder maritime air typically lifts winter maxima 2–4°C above the 13°C June climatological average, while the timing of the front’s passage introduces uncertainty that favors the upper end of the narrow 15–17°C range. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with minimal risk of southerly cooling or clear-sky radiative warming pushing values outside this window before resolution. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,399Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService guidance and supporting model runs point to a 16°C maximum for Wellington on June 15 under northerly flow ahead of an approaching front, driving the market’s concentration on 16°C (40%) and 17°C (52.5%). Northerly advection of milder maritime air typically lifts winter maxima 2–4°C above the 13°C June climatological average, while the timing of the front’s passage introduces uncertainty that favors the upper end of the narrow 15–17°C range. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with minimal risk of southerly cooling or clear-sky radiative warming pushing values outside this window before resolution. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$15,399Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current MetService guidance and supporting model runs point to a 16°C maximum for Wellington on June 15 under northerly flow ahead of an approaching front, driving the market’s concentration on 16°C (40%) and 17°C (52.5%). Northerly advection of milder maritime air typically lifts winter maxima 2–4°C above the 13°C June climatological average, while the timing of the front’s passage introduces uncertainty that favors the upper end of the narrow 15–17°C range. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with minimal risk of southerly cooling or clear-sky radiative warming pushing values outside this window before resolution. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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