Recent observational data and India Meteorological Department guidance show Lucknow experiencing daytime maxima near 43–45°C through mid-June 2026 amid persistent pre-monsoon conditions. However, increasing moisture influx, isolated thundershowers, and gusty winds are expected to moderate temperatures by June 16. These factors, combined with rising humidity and potential cloud cover ahead of the southwest monsoon’s advance into Uttar Pradesh, favor peak readings clustered around the long-term June average of roughly 38–40°C. Model consensus and short-range guidance point to limited intensification potential, keeping extreme outliers (42°C+) at low probabilities while elevating the likelihood of 37–39°C outcomes. Traders are weighting the balance between residual heat and stabilizing atmospheric moisture, with fresh IMD updates on convective activity likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
38°C 37%
39°C 23%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
35°C or below
2%
36°C
8%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
23%
40°C
7%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 37%
39°C 23%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
35°C or below
$124 KL.
2%
36°C
$49 KL.
8%
37°C
$337 KL.
15%
38°C
$70 KL.
37%
39°C
$57 KL.
23%
40°C
$32 KL.
7%
41°C
$27 KL.
3%
42°C
$118 KL.
1%
43°C
$206 KL.
1%
44°C
$90 KL.
<1%
45°C or higher
$422 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and India Meteorological Department guidance show Lucknow experiencing daytime maxima near 43–45°C through mid-June 2026 amid persistent pre-monsoon conditions. However, increasing moisture influx, isolated thundershowers, and gusty winds are expected to moderate temperatures by June 16. These factors, combined with rising humidity and potential cloud cover ahead of the southwest monsoon’s advance into Uttar Pradesh, favor peak readings clustered around the long-term June average of roughly 38–40°C. Model consensus and short-range guidance point to limited intensification potential, keeping extreme outliers (42°C+) at low probabilities while elevating the likelihood of 37–39°C outcomes. Traders are weighting the balance between residual heat and stabilizing atmospheric moisture, with fresh IMD updates on convective activity likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,532Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and India Meteorological Department guidance show Lucknow experiencing daytime maxima near 43–45°C through mid-June 2026 amid persistent pre-monsoon conditions. However, increasing moisture influx, isolated thundershowers, and gusty winds are expected to moderate temperatures by June 16. These factors, combined with rising humidity and potential cloud cover ahead of the southwest monsoon’s advance into Uttar Pradesh, favor peak readings clustered around the long-term June average of roughly 38–40°C. Model consensus and short-range guidance point to limited intensification potential, keeping extreme outliers (42°C+) at low probabilities while elevating the likelihood of 37–39°C outcomes. Traders are weighting the balance between residual heat and stabilizing atmospheric moisture, with fresh IMD updates on convective activity likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,532Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and India Meteorological Department guidance show Lucknow experiencing daytime maxima near 43–45°C through mid-June 2026 amid persistent pre-monsoon conditions. However, increasing moisture influx, isolated thundershowers, and gusty winds are expected to moderate temperatures by June 16. These factors, combined with rising humidity and potential cloud cover ahead of the southwest monsoon’s advance into Uttar Pradesh, favor peak readings clustered around the long-term June average of roughly 38–40°C. Model consensus and short-range guidance point to limited intensification potential, keeping extreme outliers (42°C+) at low probabilities while elevating the likelihood of 37–39°C outcomes. Traders are weighting the balance between residual heat and stabilizing atmospheric moisture, with fresh IMD updates on convective activity likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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