Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position the minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 16 near 17°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 17–18°C. A frontal system bringing rain and cloud cover on June 15, followed by partly cloudy skies, supports overnight radiative cooling without strong high-pressure warming. This occurs amid the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, where persistent moisture and variable cloud cover typically moderate diurnal ranges compared to clearer summer patterns. Seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus emphasizes localized cooling under these conditions, with resolution hinging on final observational data from JMA surface stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
18°C 62%
17°C 34%
16°C 12%
19°C 11%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
12%
17°C
34%
18°C
62%
19°C
11%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 62%
17°C 34%
16°C 12%
19°C 11%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
12%
17°C
34%
18°C
62%
19°C
11%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position the minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 16 near 17°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 17–18°C. A frontal system bringing rain and cloud cover on June 15, followed by partly cloudy skies, supports overnight radiative cooling without strong high-pressure warming. This occurs amid the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, where persistent moisture and variable cloud cover typically moderate diurnal ranges compared to clearer summer patterns. Seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus emphasizes localized cooling under these conditions, with resolution hinging on final observational data from JMA surface stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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