Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance favor a 25–26 °C maximum in Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that promotes strong daytime heating and limited cloud cover. These conditions produce peak insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 25 °C (50.5 % implied probability) and 26 °C (40.5 %). Recent warming has lifted maxima several degrees above seasonal normals, yet small spreads in 850 hPa temperatures and minor afternoon cloud variability sustain the narrow range. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations continue to anchor trader consensus around these two outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
25°C 51%
26°C 40%
24°C 7.7%
27°C 5.3%
$54,684 KL.
$54,684 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
51%
26°C
40%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 40%
24°C 7.7%
27°C 5.3%
$54,684 KL.
$54,684 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
20°C or below
$3,004 KL.
<1%
21°C
$561 KL.
<1%
22°C
$2,550 KL.
<1%
23°C
$8,017 KL.
<1%
24°C
$9,267 KL.
8%
25°C
$6,951 KL.
51%
26°C
$6,673 KL.
40%
27°C
$7,763 KL.
5%
28°C
$6,672 KL.
<1%
29°C
$2,503 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$3,547 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance favor a 25–26 °C maximum in Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that promotes strong daytime heating and limited cloud cover. These conditions produce peak insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 25 °C (50.5 % implied probability) and 26 °C (40.5 %). Recent warming has lifted maxima several degrees above seasonal normals, yet small spreads in 850 hPa temperatures and minor afternoon cloud variability sustain the narrow range. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations continue to anchor trader consensus around these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$54,684Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance favor a 25–26 °C maximum in Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that promotes strong daytime heating and limited cloud cover. These conditions produce peak insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 25 °C (50.5 % implied probability) and 26 °C (40.5 %). Recent warming has lifted maxima several degrees above seasonal normals, yet small spreads in 850 hPa temperatures and minor afternoon cloud variability sustain the narrow range. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations continue to anchor trader consensus around these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$54,684Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance favor a 25–26 °C maximum in Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that promotes strong daytime heating and limited cloud cover. These conditions produce peak insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 25 °C (50.5 % implied probability) and 26 °C (40.5 %). Recent warming has lifted maxima several degrees above seasonal normals, yet small spreads in 850 hPa temperatures and minor afternoon cloud variability sustain the narrow range. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations continue to anchor trader consensus around these two outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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