Recent official observations and refined numerical weather prediction runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C for Beijing on June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Persistent cloud cover, light easterly flow, and residual boundary-layer moisture from overnight showers have suppressed surface heating below climatological June norms near 30°C, as confirmed by China Meteorological Administration station data and ensemble guidance. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders' assessment of verified measurements over model spread. Only an improbable late-day clearing or localized measurement revision at the official site could realistically shift the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on June 14?
28°C 99.9%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,898 KL.
$119,898 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.9%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,898 KL.
$119,898 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official observations and refined numerical weather prediction runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C for Beijing on June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Persistent cloud cover, light easterly flow, and residual boundary-layer moisture from overnight showers have suppressed surface heating below climatological June norms near 30°C, as confirmed by China Meteorological Administration station data and ensemble guidance. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders' assessment of verified measurements over model spread. Only an improbable late-day clearing or localized measurement revision at the official site could realistically shift the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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