Recent short-range forecasts for Hong Kong on June 16, 2026, from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures clustered between 24–26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity associated with the early summer monsoon. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while moderating daytime heating, keeping the daily low near or slightly below the long-term June climatological average of ~27 °C. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for June–August notes above-normal temperatures overall, yet the immediate pattern of widespread rain and northeasterly flow favors the slightly cooler end of the distribution. Model consensus and observed trends over the past several days have therefore concentrated trader probability on 25–26 °C minima, with lower odds assigned to 27–28 °C outcomes that would require clearer skies and reduced moisture. Updated model runs and any changes in the steering pattern ahead of June 16 remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
26°C 35%
27°C 26%
25°C 21%
28°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
35%
27°C
26%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 26%
25°C 21%
28°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$27 KL.
<1%
22°C
$15 KL.
1%
23°C
$22 KL.
1%
24°C
$6 KL.
6%
25°C
$16 KL.
21%
26°C
$11 KL.
35%
27°C
$0 KL.
26%
28°C
$0 KL.
19%
29°C
$22 KL.
1%
30°C
$22 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$27 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts for Hong Kong on June 16, 2026, from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures clustered between 24–26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity associated with the early summer monsoon. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while moderating daytime heating, keeping the daily low near or slightly below the long-term June climatological average of ~27 °C. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for June–August notes above-normal temperatures overall, yet the immediate pattern of widespread rain and northeasterly flow favors the slightly cooler end of the distribution. Model consensus and observed trends over the past several days have therefore concentrated trader probability on 25–26 °C minima, with lower odds assigned to 27–28 °C outcomes that would require clearer skies and reduced moisture. Updated model runs and any changes in the steering pattern ahead of June 16 remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$163Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts for Hong Kong on June 16, 2026, from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures clustered between 24–26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity associated with the early summer monsoon. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while moderating daytime heating, keeping the daily low near or slightly below the long-term June climatological average of ~27 °C. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for June–August notes above-normal temperatures overall, yet the immediate pattern of widespread rain and northeasterly flow favors the slightly cooler end of the distribution. Model consensus and observed trends over the past several days have therefore concentrated trader probability on 25–26 °C minima, with lower odds assigned to 27–28 °C outcomes that would require clearer skies and reduced moisture. Updated model runs and any changes in the steering pattern ahead of June 16 remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$163Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Hong Kong on June 16, 2026, from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures clustered between 24–26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity associated with the early summer monsoon. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while moderating daytime heating, keeping the daily low near or slightly below the long-term June climatological average of ~27 °C. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for June–August notes above-normal temperatures overall, yet the immediate pattern of widespread rain and northeasterly flow favors the slightly cooler end of the distribution. Model consensus and observed trends over the past several days have therefore concentrated trader probability on 25–26 °C minima, with lower odds assigned to 27–28 °C outcomes that would require clearer skies and reduced moisture. Updated model runs and any changes in the steering pattern ahead of June 16 remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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