Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe, building after May's exceptional heatwave, are supporting milder overnight conditions and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–20°C minima for June 16. Ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF indicate limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, keeping daily lows several degrees above the long-term June average of 13–17°C. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture create the narrow spread between leading outcomes, with traders weighing the latest 48-hour guidance ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on June 16?
19°C 28%
20°C 20%
18°C 5%
22°C 4.5%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C
28%
20°C
25%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
1%
19°C 28%
20°C 20%
18°C 5%
22°C 4.5%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C
28%
20°C
25%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe, building after May's exceptional heatwave, are supporting milder overnight conditions and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–20°C minima for June 16. Ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF indicate limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, keeping daily lows several degrees above the long-term June average of 13–17°C. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture create the narrow spread between leading outcomes, with traders weighing the latest 48-hour guidance ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp