High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds over Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs. These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime maxima of 25–30°C, consistent with climatological June lows averaging 13°C. Boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome slightly higher or lower, while model consensus keeps implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 12°C (45%) and 13°C (33%). Final forecast updates from official agencies on June 14–15 will provide the last refinements ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
12°C 39%
13°C 36%
14°C 7%
11°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
45%
13°C
36%
14°C
7%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 39%
13°C 36%
14°C 7%
11°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
$17 KL.
2%
11°C
$937 KL.
6%
12°C
$131 KL.
45%
13°C
$88 KL.
36%
14°C
$26 KL.
7%
15°C
$42 KL.
4%
16°C
$291 KL.
1%
17°C
$556 KL.
1%
18°C
$500 KL.
1%
19°C
$365 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$260 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds over Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs. These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime maxima of 25–30°C, consistent with climatological June lows averaging 13°C. Boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome slightly higher or lower, while model consensus keeps implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 12°C (45%) and 13°C (33%). Final forecast updates from official agencies on June 14–15 will provide the last refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,211Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds over Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs. These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime maxima of 25–30°C, consistent with climatological June lows averaging 13°C. Boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome slightly higher or lower, while model consensus keeps implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 12°C (45%) and 13°C (33%). Final forecast updates from official agencies on June 14–15 will provide the last refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,211Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have promoted clear skies and light winds over Paris, enhancing nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs. These conditions favor efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime maxima of 25–30°C, consistent with climatological June lows averaging 13°C. Boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome slightly higher or lower, while model consensus keeps implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 12°C (45%) and 13°C (33%). Final forecast updates from official agencies on June 14–15 will provide the last refinements ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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