Recent Météo-France ensemble forecasts and supporting high-resolution guidance establish a minimum temperature of 13°C as the dominant outcome for Paris on June 14, 2026, with market-implied odds at 99.7% reflecting strong trader alignment on limited model spread. Clear skies beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge enable efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and dew points near 10–12°C, consistent with climatological June lows averaging 13°C. Minimal cloud cover or precipitation is projected to moderate further drops. This consensus could shift if low-level moisture increases unexpectedly or winds veer, raising the minimum above 13°C, or if clearer conditions accelerate cooling beyond current projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 KL.
$12,364 KL.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 KL.
$12,364 KL.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France ensemble forecasts and supporting high-resolution guidance establish a minimum temperature of 13°C as the dominant outcome for Paris on June 14, 2026, with market-implied odds at 99.7% reflecting strong trader alignment on limited model spread. Clear skies beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge enable efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds and dew points near 10–12°C, consistent with climatological June lows averaging 13°C. Minimal cloud cover or precipitation is projected to moderate further drops. This consensus could shift if low-level moisture increases unexpectedly or winds veer, raising the minimum above 13°C, or if clearer conditions accelerate cooling beyond current projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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