**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 29°C maximum for June 14 because real-time Hong Kong Observatory observations and multi-model consensus forecasts have consistently pointed to a daytime peak in that narrow range under persistent cloud cover and showers.** These conditions suppress afternoon heating relative to clearer climatological analogs that average closer to 31°C, while seasonal warming and the above-normal June–August temperature outlook provide the baseline. Recent model runs show little upward revision, keeping the probability of 30°C or higher negligible. Updated HKO guidance or any post-evening measurement revision remains the only realistic path that could shift resolution away from 29°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
29°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$186,357 KL.
$186,357 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$186,357 KL.
$186,357 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
$618 KL.
<1%
24°C
$603 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,398 KL.
<1%
26°C
$8,756 KL.
<1%
27°C
$37,225 KL.
<1%
28°C
$31,184 KL.
<1%
29°C
$38,373 KL.
100%
30°C
$23,233 KL.
<1%
31°C
$23,847 KL.
<1%
32°C
$12,830 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$9,373 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 29°C maximum for June 14 because real-time Hong Kong Observatory observations and multi-model consensus forecasts have consistently pointed to a daytime peak in that narrow range under persistent cloud cover and showers.**
These conditions suppress afternoon heating relative to clearer climatological analogs that average closer to 31°C, while seasonal warming and the above-normal June–August temperature outlook provide the baseline. Recent model runs show little upward revision, keeping the probability of 30°C or higher negligible. Updated HKO guidance or any post-evening measurement revision remains the only realistic path that could shift resolution away from 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$186,357Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 29°C maximum for June 14 because real-time Hong Kong Observatory observations and multi-model consensus forecasts have consistently pointed to a daytime peak in that narrow range under persistent cloud cover and showers.**
These conditions suppress afternoon heating relative to clearer climatological analogs that average closer to 31°C, while seasonal warming and the above-normal June–August temperature outlook provide the baseline. Recent model runs show little upward revision, keeping the probability of 30°C or higher negligible. Updated HKO guidance or any post-evening measurement revision remains the only realistic path that could shift resolution away from 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$186,357Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 29°C maximum for June 14 because real-time Hong Kong Observatory observations and multi-model consensus forecasts have consistently pointed to a daytime peak in that narrow range under persistent cloud cover and showers.** These conditions suppress afternoon heating relative to clearer climatological analogs that average closer to 31°C, while seasonal warming and the above-normal June–August temperature outlook provide the baseline. Recent model runs show little upward revision, keeping the probability of 30°C or higher negligible. Updated HKO guidance or any post-evening measurement revision remains the only realistic path that could shift resolution away from 29°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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