**Current meteorological forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, BBC Weather, and weather25.com converge on a maximum temperature of 33°C for Chengdu on June 14, 2026, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where daily highs average 28–33°C amid the onset of the rainy season.** Official guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant suppression from cloud cover or rain. This consensus drives the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C as the official high, reflecting traders' assessment of model agreement and historical analogs. Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration if unexpected afternoon clearing boosts insolation or if localized showers cap the peak below 33°C, though current data make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 99.6%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$54,051 KL.
$54,051 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.6%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$54,051 KL.
$54,051 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
$11,586 KL.
<1%
32°C
$10,852 KL.
<1%
33°C
$12,299 KL.
100%
34°C
$4,910 KL.
<1%
35°C
$3,679 KL.
1%
36°C
$4,009 KL.
<1%
37°C
$2,077 KL.
<1%
38°C
$2,711 KL.
<1%
39°C
$652 KL.
<1%
40°C
$713 KL.
<1%
41°C or higher
$611 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, BBC Weather, and weather25.com converge on a maximum temperature of 33°C for Chengdu on June 14, 2026, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where daily highs average 28–33°C amid the onset of the rainy season.** Official guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant suppression from cloud cover or rain. This consensus drives the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C as the official high, reflecting traders' assessment of model agreement and historical analogs.
Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration if unexpected afternoon clearing boosts insolation or if localized showers cap the peak below 33°C, though current data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$54,051Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, BBC Weather, and weather25.com converge on a maximum temperature of 33°C for Chengdu on June 14, 2026, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where daily highs average 28–33°C amid the onset of the rainy season.** Official guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant suppression from cloud cover or rain. This consensus drives the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C as the official high, reflecting traders' assessment of model agreement and historical analogs.
Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration if unexpected afternoon clearing boosts insolation or if localized showers cap the peak below 33°C, though current data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$54,051Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current meteorological forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, BBC Weather, and weather25.com converge on a maximum temperature of 33°C for Chengdu on June 14, 2026, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where daily highs average 28–33°C amid the onset of the rainy season.** Official guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant suppression from cloud cover or rain. This consensus drives the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C as the official high, reflecting traders' assessment of model agreement and historical analogs. Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration if unexpected afternoon clearing boosts insolation or if localized showers cap the peak below 33°C, though current data make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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