Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum near 22°C in Munich on June 14, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. These conditions align with climatological June averages of 21–23°C and explain why market-implied odds concentrate heavily on 22°C (49%) and 21°C (35.5%), with 23°C at just 10.5%. Model consensus shows minimal spread due to suppressed instability and no strong advection of warmer air, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the observed high within the narrow 21–23°C band before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on June 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 14?
22°C 45%
21°C 43%
23°C 11%
20°C 6.3%
$51,921 KL.
$51,921 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
6%
21°C
43%
22°C
45%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
21°C 43%
23°C 11%
20°C 6.3%
$51,921 KL.
$51,921 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
16°C or below
$351 KL.
<1%
17°C
$2,697 KL.
<1%
18°C
$8,361 KL.
<1%
19°C
$8,800 KL.
<1%
20°C
$9,856 KL.
6%
21°C
$3,448 KL.
43%
22°C
$4,734 KL.
45%
23°C
$6,892 KL.
11%
24°C
$3,887 KL.
1%
25°C
$2,163 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$2,630 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum near 22°C in Munich on June 14, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. These conditions align with climatological June averages of 21–23°C and explain why market-implied odds concentrate heavily on 22°C (49%) and 21°C (35.5%), with 23°C at just 10.5%. Model consensus shows minimal spread due to suppressed instability and no strong advection of warmer air, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the observed high within the narrow 21–23°C band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$51,921Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum near 22°C in Munich on June 14, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. These conditions align with climatological June averages of 21–23°C and explain why market-implied odds concentrate heavily on 22°C (49%) and 21°C (35.5%), with 23°C at just 10.5%. Model consensus shows minimal spread due to suppressed instability and no strong advection of warmer air, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the observed high within the narrow 21–23°C band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$51,921Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum near 22°C in Munich on June 14, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. These conditions align with climatological June averages of 21–23°C and explain why market-implied odds concentrate heavily on 22°C (49%) and 21°C (35.5%), with 23°C at just 10.5%. Model consensus shows minimal spread due to suppressed instability and no strong advection of warmer air, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the observed high within the narrow 21–23°C band before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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