Official Hong Kong Observatory observations recorded a minimum air temperature of 25.9°C on June 12, 2026, aligning closely with the 26°C market outcome at 99.8% implied probability. This reflects typical early-summer conditions under an above-normal temperature regime for June–August 2026, with regional stations reporting overnight lows near 26°C amid humid southwesterly flow and no significant cooling influences. Historical climatology supports this baseline, as June minimums average around 26–27°C. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions from HKO reanalysis or discrepancies across urban versus rural stations, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for daily extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
26°C 99.8%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$42,932 KL.
$42,932 KL.
Jun 12, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$42,932 KL.
$42,932 KL.
Jun 12, 2026
21°C or below
$848 KL.
<1%
22°C
$944 KL.
<1%
23°C
$2,444 KL.
<1%
24°C
$2,932 KL.
<1%
25°C
$6,758 KL.
<1%
26°C
$21,873 KL.
100%
27°C
$4,426 KL.
<1%
28°C
$908 KL.
<1%
29°C
$710 KL.
<1%
30°C
$420 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$668 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory observations recorded a minimum air temperature of 25.9°C on June 12, 2026, aligning closely with the 26°C market outcome at 99.8% implied probability. This reflects typical early-summer conditions under an above-normal temperature regime for June–August 2026, with regional stations reporting overnight lows near 26°C amid humid southwesterly flow and no significant cooling influences. Historical climatology supports this baseline, as June minimums average around 26–27°C. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions from HKO reanalysis or discrepancies across urban versus rural stations, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for daily extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,932Ngày kết thúc
Jun 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory observations recorded a minimum air temperature of 25.9°C on June 12, 2026, aligning closely with the 26°C market outcome at 99.8% implied probability. This reflects typical early-summer conditions under an above-normal temperature regime for June–August 2026, with regional stations reporting overnight lows near 26°C amid humid southwesterly flow and no significant cooling influences. Historical climatology supports this baseline, as June minimums average around 26–27°C. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions from HKO reanalysis or discrepancies across urban versus rural stations, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for daily extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$42,932Ngày kết thúc
Jun 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory observations recorded a minimum air temperature of 25.9°C on June 12, 2026, aligning closely with the 26°C market outcome at 99.8% implied probability. This reflects typical early-summer conditions under an above-normal temperature regime for June–August 2026, with regional stations reporting overnight lows near 26°C amid humid southwesterly flow and no significant cooling influences. Historical climatology supports this baseline, as June minimums average around 26–27°C. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions from HKO reanalysis or discrepancies across urban versus rural stations, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for daily extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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