Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 14 project a daytime high near 28°C under mostly clear to cloudy skies, with an overnight minimum stabilizing around 21°C—consistent with climatological normals of 18.6°C for the date and recent model consensus from regional guidance. Trader consensus at 92% implied probability for 21°C reflects these stable atmospheric conditions, including limited overnight cooling from moderate humidity and light winds, aligning with observed trends in early June. A realistic challenge could arise from rapid shifts such as unexpected cloud cover or localized rainfall enhancing radiative cooling, potentially dropping the minimum into the 19–20°C range if forecast models diverge from actual boundary-layer dynamics before final observation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
21°C 90%
20°C 5%
19°C 3.4%
18°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
90%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 90%
20°C 5%
19°C 3.4%
18°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
90%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 14 project a daytime high near 28°C under mostly clear to cloudy skies, with an overnight minimum stabilizing around 21°C—consistent with climatological normals of 18.6°C for the date and recent model consensus from regional guidance. Trader consensus at 92% implied probability for 21°C reflects these stable atmospheric conditions, including limited overnight cooling from moderate humidity and light winds, aligning with observed trends in early June. A realistic challenge could arise from rapid shifts such as unexpected cloud cover or localized rainfall enhancing radiative cooling, potentially dropping the minimum into the 19–20°C range if forecast models diverge from actual boundary-layer dynamics before final observation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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