**Forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature of 14–15°C for London on June 15, 2026, under generally settled high-pressure conditions with light winds and partial cloud.** This setup limits strong radiative cooling overnight while daytime maxima reach 23–24°C. The market’s tight clustering around 12°C (39%) and 13°C (37%) reflects residual model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes—small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or humidity can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C through differences in longwave radiation loss and mixing. Early June’s changeable pattern after May’s warmth has traders weighting historical June minima (typically 11–12°C) alongside the current mild outlook, keeping 11°C and 14°C as secondary options. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability spread as the exact steering flow and cloud timing become clearer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on June 15?
Lowest temperature in London on June 15?
12°C 40%
13°C 35%
11°C 11%
14°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
11%
12°C
40%
13°C
35%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
13°C 35%
11°C 11%
14°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
8°C or below
$110 KL.
1%
9°C
$41 KL.
1%
10°C
$55 KL.
1%
11°C
$119 KL.
11%
12°C
$119 KL.
40%
13°C
$203 KL.
35%
14°C
$174 KL.
5%
15°C
$238 KL.
<1%
16°C
$148 KL.
<1%
17°C
$147 KL.
<1%
18°C or higher
$154 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature of 14–15°C for London on June 15, 2026, under generally settled high-pressure conditions with light winds and partial cloud.** This setup limits strong radiative cooling overnight while daytime maxima reach 23–24°C. The market’s tight clustering around 12°C (39%) and 13°C (37%) reflects residual model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes—small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or humidity can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C through differences in longwave radiation loss and mixing.
Early June’s changeable pattern after May’s warmth has traders weighting historical June minima (typically 11–12°C) alongside the current mild outlook, keeping 11°C and 14°C as secondary options. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability spread as the exact steering flow and cloud timing become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,492Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature of 14–15°C for London on June 15, 2026, under generally settled high-pressure conditions with light winds and partial cloud.** This setup limits strong radiative cooling overnight while daytime maxima reach 23–24°C. The market’s tight clustering around 12°C (39%) and 13°C (37%) reflects residual model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes—small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or humidity can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C through differences in longwave radiation loss and mixing.
Early June’s changeable pattern after May’s warmth has traders weighting historical June minima (typically 11–12°C) alongside the current mild outlook, keeping 11°C and 14°C as secondary options. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability spread as the exact steering flow and cloud timing become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,492Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature of 14–15°C for London on June 15, 2026, under generally settled high-pressure conditions with light winds and partial cloud.** This setup limits strong radiative cooling overnight while daytime maxima reach 23–24°C. The market’s tight clustering around 12°C (39%) and 13°C (37%) reflects residual model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes—small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or humidity can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C through differences in longwave radiation loss and mixing. Early June’s changeable pattern after May’s warmth has traders weighting historical June minima (typically 11–12°C) alongside the current mild outlook, keeping 11°C and 14°C as secondary options. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability spread as the exact steering flow and cloud timing become clearer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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