Current short-range ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance, place Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on June 15 most likely between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split at 34 % and 39 % implied probability. Persistent high pressure with light northwesterly flow favors limited warming, while variable low-level cloud and modest Atlantic moisture introduce small timing differences in peak values. Historical June maxima average near 19 °C, so the cooler outlook reflects a temporary suppression of insolation rather than a broader pattern shift. Fresh model runs tonight and early morning surface observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 39%
17°C 36%
19°C 16%
16°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
36%
18°C
39%
19°C
16%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 36%
19°C 16%
16°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
14°C or below
$233 KL.
<1%
15°C
$320 KL.
1%
16°C
$703 KL.
9%
17°C
$662 KL.
36%
18°C
$331 KL.
39%
19°C
$752 KL.
16%
20°C
$413 KL.
5%
21°C
$487 KL.
<1%
22°C
$417 KL.
<1%
23°C
$594 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$50 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance, place Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on June 15 most likely between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split at 34 % and 39 % implied probability. Persistent high pressure with light northwesterly flow favors limited warming, while variable low-level cloud and modest Atlantic moisture introduce small timing differences in peak values. Historical June maxima average near 19 °C, so the cooler outlook reflects a temporary suppression of insolation rather than a broader pattern shift. Fresh model runs tonight and early morning surface observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,905Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance, place Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on June 15 most likely between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split at 34 % and 39 % implied probability. Persistent high pressure with light northwesterly flow favors limited warming, while variable low-level cloud and modest Atlantic moisture introduce small timing differences in peak values. Historical June maxima average near 19 °C, so the cooler outlook reflects a temporary suppression of insolation rather than a broader pattern shift. Fresh model runs tonight and early morning surface observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,905Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance, place Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on June 15 most likely between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split at 34 % and 39 % implied probability. Persistent high pressure with light northwesterly flow favors limited warming, while variable low-level cloud and modest Atlantic moisture introduce small timing differences in peak values. Historical June maxima average near 19 °C, so the cooler outlook reflects a temporary suppression of insolation rather than a broader pattern shift. Fresh model runs tonight and early morning surface observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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