Recent northerly wind patterns and MetService model guidance have driven Wellington's maximum temperature firmly toward 17°C on June 14, well above the June climatological average high near 13°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-average conditions has been overridden by localized warm advection, with surface observations and forecast soundings converging on this peak rather than the 15–16°C range initially projected. The market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability on 17°C reflects traders incorporating the latest official data releases and the narrowing uncertainty window as the day progresses. Afternoon convective showers or a sudden wind shift to cooler southerlies remain the primary realistic scenarios that could still cap readings below the consensus threshold before official MetService resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 14?
17°C 99.9%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$42,167 KL.
$42,167 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.9%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$42,167 KL.
$42,167 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
11°C or below
$251 KL.
<1%
12°C
$379 KL.
<1%
13°C
$490 KL.
<1%
14°C
$770 KL.
<1%
15°C
$7,644 KL.
<1%
16°C
$4,405 KL.
<1%
17°C
$9,566 KL.
100%
18°C
$10,592 KL.
<1%
19°C
$5,574 KL.
<1%
20°C
$2,159 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$359 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly wind patterns and MetService model guidance have driven Wellington's maximum temperature firmly toward 17°C on June 14, well above the June climatological average high near 13°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-average conditions has been overridden by localized warm advection, with surface observations and forecast soundings converging on this peak rather than the 15–16°C range initially projected. The market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability on 17°C reflects traders incorporating the latest official data releases and the narrowing uncertainty window as the day progresses. Afternoon convective showers or a sudden wind shift to cooler southerlies remain the primary realistic scenarios that could still cap readings below the consensus threshold before official MetService resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,167Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly wind patterns and MetService model guidance have driven Wellington's maximum temperature firmly toward 17°C on June 14, well above the June climatological average high near 13°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-average conditions has been overridden by localized warm advection, with surface observations and forecast soundings converging on this peak rather than the 15–16°C range initially projected. The market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability on 17°C reflects traders incorporating the latest official data releases and the narrowing uncertainty window as the day progresses. Afternoon convective showers or a sudden wind shift to cooler southerlies remain the primary realistic scenarios that could still cap readings below the consensus threshold before official MetService resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$42,167Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly wind patterns and MetService model guidance have driven Wellington's maximum temperature firmly toward 17°C on June 14, well above the June climatological average high near 13°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-average conditions has been overridden by localized warm advection, with surface observations and forecast soundings converging on this peak rather than the 15–16°C range initially projected. The market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability on 17°C reflects traders incorporating the latest official data releases and the narrowing uncertainty window as the day progresses. Afternoon convective showers or a sudden wind shift to cooler southerlies remain the primary realistic scenarios that could still cap readings below the consensus threshold before official MetService resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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