Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models point to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 16°C. Persistent winter westerlies and a moderating South Atlantic influence keep daytime highs close to the June climatological average of 16–17°C, while limited insolation and possible morning fog suppress stronger warming. Recent runs show no significant warm advection or berg-wind events that would push readings above 18°C, and no deep cold front is expected to drop the high below 15°C. Updated guidance over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly any changes in cloud cover or wind direction that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 15?
16°C 50%
17°C 26%
15°C 14%
18°C 5.8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
50%
17°C
26%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 50%
17°C 26%
15°C 14%
18°C 5.8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
50%
17°C
26%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models point to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 16°C. Persistent winter westerlies and a moderating South Atlantic influence keep daytime highs close to the June climatological average of 16–17°C, while limited insolation and possible morning fog suppress stronger warming. Recent runs show no significant warm advection or berg-wind events that would push readings above 18°C, and no deep cold front is expected to drop the high below 15°C. Updated guidance over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly any changes in cloud cover or wind direction that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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