Short-term forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and local agencies point to a daytime high near 24–26°C on June 15, with partly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate south-easterly winds moderating temperatures at Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation. The closely matched market odds for 25°C and 26°C reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C during the early rainy season. Historical June averages of 24–25°C provide context, while urban heat-island effects and any clearer breaks could push readings toward the upper end of the range. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 15?
25°C 29%
26°C 24%
24°C 16%
27°C 8%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
16%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 29%
26°C 24%
24°C 16%
27°C 8%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
16%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and local agencies point to a daytime high near 24–26°C on June 15, with partly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate south-easterly winds moderating temperatures at Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation. The closely matched market odds for 25°C and 26°C reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C during the early rainy season. Historical June averages of 24–25°C provide context, while urban heat-island effects and any clearer breaks could push readings toward the upper end of the range. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp