Persistent marine layer and onshore flow continue to moderate coastal heating in Los Angeles, positioning the 72–73°F bin as the clear market leader at 40.5% implied probability for the June 15 high at official stations such as KLAX. National Weather Service guidance and regional models show this inversion, reinforced by patchy low stratus and southwest winds of 5–10 mph, limiting daytime insolation and keeping surface temperatures near or slightly above mid-June seasonal normals around 72–75°F. Recent observations from June 12–14, with highs clustering in the low-to-mid 70s under analogous synoptic conditions, reinforce trader consensus around these bins while assigning low odds to warmer outcomes above 76°F. Limited model spread and the absence of strong offshore flow or clearing trends ahead of resolution maintain tight clustering, with only modest probability on 74–75°F reflecting potential for partial afternoon warming if stratus dissipates earlier than forecast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 15?
72-73°F 41%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 10%
68-69°F 7%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
4%
80°F or higher
3%
72-73°F 41%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 10%
68-69°F 7%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
4%
80°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore flow continue to moderate coastal heating in Los Angeles, positioning the 72–73°F bin as the clear market leader at 40.5% implied probability for the June 15 high at official stations such as KLAX. National Weather Service guidance and regional models show this inversion, reinforced by patchy low stratus and southwest winds of 5–10 mph, limiting daytime insolation and keeping surface temperatures near or slightly above mid-June seasonal normals around 72–75°F. Recent observations from June 12–14, with highs clustering in the low-to-mid 70s under analogous synoptic conditions, reinforce trader consensus around these bins while assigning low odds to warmer outcomes above 76°F. Limited model spread and the absence of strong offshore flow or clearing trends ahead of resolution maintain tight clustering, with only modest probability on 74–75°F reflecting potential for partial afternoon warming if stratus dissipates earlier than forecast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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