Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston points to a high in the mid-80s on June 15, driven by increasing Gulf moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with recent sunny conditions. Ensemble forecasts show modest consensus around 84–87°F, with afternoon convection and higher dew points expected to cap peaks even as southerly flow persists. Historical June normals near 90–92°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly in the 84–89°F bins because small shifts in cloud timing or storm initiation—visible in the next model runs—could easily move the observed maximum by a degree or two. Traders weigh these variables heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on June 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 15?
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 28%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 28%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
75°F or below
$21 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$17 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$664 KL.
1%
80-81°F
$252 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$358 KL.
8%
84-85°F
$147 KL.
28%
86-87°F
$533 KL.
33%
88-89°F
$651 KL.
18%
90-91°F
$1,076 KL.
5%
92-93°F
$2,116 KL.
2%
94°F or higher
$843 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston points to a high in the mid-80s on June 15, driven by increasing Gulf moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with recent sunny conditions. Ensemble forecasts show modest consensus around 84–87°F, with afternoon convection and higher dew points expected to cap peaks even as southerly flow persists. Historical June normals near 90–92°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly in the 84–89°F bins because small shifts in cloud timing or storm initiation—visible in the next model runs—could easily move the observed maximum by a degree or two. Traders weigh these variables heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,677Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston points to a high in the mid-80s on June 15, driven by increasing Gulf moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with recent sunny conditions. Ensemble forecasts show modest consensus around 84–87°F, with afternoon convection and higher dew points expected to cap peaks even as southerly flow persists. Historical June normals near 90–92°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly in the 84–89°F bins because small shifts in cloud timing or storm initiation—visible in the next model runs—could easily move the observed maximum by a degree or two. Traders weigh these variables heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,677Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston points to a high in the mid-80s on June 15, driven by increasing Gulf moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with recent sunny conditions. Ensemble forecasts show modest consensus around 84–87°F, with afternoon convection and higher dew points expected to cap peaks even as southerly flow persists. Historical June normals near 90–92°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly in the 84–89°F bins because small shifts in cloud timing or storm initiation—visible in the next model runs—could easily move the observed maximum by a degree or two. Traders weigh these variables heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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