Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on June 15 point to a high near 72°F under sunny conditions with light onshore flow, aligning with the market's strongest weighting toward the 70-71°F range. Typical early-summer marine layer and coastal stratus moderate temperatures across the Bay Area, while variable wind patterns and exact timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across the 68-75°F bins. Historical June averages near 66-70°F at official stations like KSFO provide context, though recent 2026 warmth has slightly elevated trader expectations for the upper end of that range. Model consensus remains the dominant near-term driver ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 15?
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 16%
72-73°F 14%
68-69°F 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
65°F or below
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 16%
72-73°F 14%
68-69°F 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
65°F or below
$0 KL.
4%
66-67°F
$54 KL.
5%
68-69°F
$193 KL.
13%
70-71°F
$121 KL.
29%
72-73°F
$82 KL.
14%
74-75°F
$129 KL.
16%
76-77°F
$38 KL.
8%
78-79°F
$91 KL.
3%
80-81°F
$378 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$55 KL.
<1%
84°F or higher
$5 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on June 15 point to a high near 72°F under sunny conditions with light onshore flow, aligning with the market's strongest weighting toward the 70-71°F range. Typical early-summer marine layer and coastal stratus moderate temperatures across the Bay Area, while variable wind patterns and exact timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across the 68-75°F bins. Historical June averages near 66-70°F at official stations like KSFO provide context, though recent 2026 warmth has slightly elevated trader expectations for the upper end of that range. Model consensus remains the dominant near-term driver ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$969Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on June 15 point to a high near 72°F under sunny conditions with light onshore flow, aligning with the market's strongest weighting toward the 70-71°F range. Typical early-summer marine layer and coastal stratus moderate temperatures across the Bay Area, while variable wind patterns and exact timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across the 68-75°F bins. Historical June averages near 66-70°F at official stations like KSFO provide context, though recent 2026 warmth has slightly elevated trader expectations for the upper end of that range. Model consensus remains the dominant near-term driver ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$969Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on June 15 point to a high near 72°F under sunny conditions with light onshore flow, aligning with the market's strongest weighting toward the 70-71°F range. Typical early-summer marine layer and coastal stratus moderate temperatures across the Bay Area, while variable wind patterns and exact timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across the 68-75°F bins. Historical June averages near 66-70°F at official stations like KSFO provide context, though recent 2026 warmth has slightly elevated trader expectations for the upper end of that range. Model consensus remains the dominant near-term driver ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp