Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on June 14, consistent with typical early-summer June Gloom patterns that limit highs near the seasonal average of 68–70°F. Latest model guidance and observational trends point to mostly sunny conditions with temperatures peaking in the 69–72°F range at official stations, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 70–75°F bins. Minor variations in fog clearance timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, explaining why adjacent outcomes like 72–73°F (30%) and 70–71°F (24%) hold nearly equal weight. Historical analogs show rare excursions above 75°F this early in the season without strong offshore flow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
72-73°F 29%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 29%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
$569 KL.
4%
68-69°F
$609 KL.
9%
70-71°F
$492 KL.
22%
72-73°F
$647 KL.
29%
74-75°F
$508 KL.
25%
76-77°F
$1,099 KL.
8%
78-79°F
$1,787 KL.
7%
80-81°F
$1,950 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$1,098 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$486 KL.
<1%
86°F or higher
$454 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on June 14, consistent with typical early-summer June Gloom patterns that limit highs near the seasonal average of 68–70°F. Latest model guidance and observational trends point to mostly sunny conditions with temperatures peaking in the 69–72°F range at official stations, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 70–75°F bins. Minor variations in fog clearance timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, explaining why adjacent outcomes like 72–73°F (30%) and 70–71°F (24%) hold nearly equal weight. Historical analogs show rare excursions above 75°F this early in the season without strong offshore flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,588Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on June 14, consistent with typical early-summer June Gloom patterns that limit highs near the seasonal average of 68–70°F. Latest model guidance and observational trends point to mostly sunny conditions with temperatures peaking in the 69–72°F range at official stations, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 70–75°F bins. Minor variations in fog clearance timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, explaining why adjacent outcomes like 72–73°F (30%) and 70–71°F (24%) hold nearly equal weight. Historical analogs show rare excursions above 75°F this early in the season without strong offshore flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,588Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on June 14, consistent with typical early-summer June Gloom patterns that limit highs near the seasonal average of 68–70°F. Latest model guidance and observational trends point to mostly sunny conditions with temperatures peaking in the 69–72°F range at official stations, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 70–75°F bins. Minor variations in fog clearance timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, explaining why adjacent outcomes like 72–73°F (30%) and 70–71°F (24%) hold nearly equal weight. Historical analogs show rare excursions above 75°F this early in the season without strong offshore flow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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