Recent forecasts for Lucknow highlight uncertainty from potential early convective activity and increased cloud cover on June 15, moderating peak heating amid pre-monsoon conditions. Official guidance notes thundershowers and gusty winds possible, which could limit insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 37–39°C rather than recent higher readings. Model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns create the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 37°C and 38°C, with lower odds on 39°C or above reflecting scenarios where clearer skies allow stronger diurnal warming. Historical June variability in Uttar Pradesh underscores how even modest precipitation timing shifts can alter daily highs by 2–3°C. Updated IMD and numerical model runs expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 15?
38°C 33%
37°C 31%
39°C 16%
36°C 8%
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
8%
37°C
31%
38°C
33%
39°C
16%
40°C
7%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 33%
37°C 31%
39°C 16%
36°C 8%
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
8%
37°C
31%
38°C
33%
39°C
16%
40°C
7%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Lucknow highlight uncertainty from potential early convective activity and increased cloud cover on June 15, moderating peak heating amid pre-monsoon conditions. Official guidance notes thundershowers and gusty winds possible, which could limit insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 37–39°C rather than recent higher readings. Model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns create the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 37°C and 38°C, with lower odds on 39°C or above reflecting scenarios where clearer skies allow stronger diurnal warming. Historical June variability in Uttar Pradesh underscores how even modest precipitation timing shifts can alter daily highs by 2–3°C. Updated IMD and numerical model runs expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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