Current forecast models and National Weather Service guidance position Denver's June 15 high near 80–82°F, aligning with the market's leading 80–81°F outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and Front Range location amplify sensitivity to downslope warming or incoming moisture, while the ongoing La Niña-to-El Niño transition favors slightly cooler, wetter patterns than recent hot spells. Normal highs for mid-June average 83°F, with model consensus and limited afternoon convection keeping extremes in check. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential last-minute steering pattern shifts ahead of the official NWS climatological report.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Denver on June 15?
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19.1%
76-77°F 7%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19.1%
76-77°F 7%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models and National Weather Service guidance position Denver's June 15 high near 80–82°F, aligning with the market's leading 80–81°F outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and Front Range location amplify sensitivity to downslope warming or incoming moisture, while the ongoing La Niña-to-El Niño transition favors slightly cooler, wetter patterns than recent hot spells. Normal highs for mid-June average 83°F, with model consensus and limited afternoon convection keeping extremes in check. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential last-minute steering pattern shifts ahead of the official NWS climatological report.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp