**Trader sentiment for Seattle's June 15 high temperature centers on the 88–91°F range, with 90–91°F holding the highest implied probability at 40.5% and 88–89°F at 29.5%.** This positioning reflects recent numerical weather prediction model runs that indicate a building thermal trough or ridge-induced offshore flow, allowing warmer continental air to reach the Puget Sound region and reduce the typical marine layer cooling. Forecast guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and ensemble models consistently points to daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 80s, with some solutions reaching the low 90s if downslope warming and clear skies maximize insolation on the 15th. Historical June averages near 74°F provide context, while broader NOAA outlooks for above-normal temperatures across the Pacific Northwest this summer add supporting background without overriding the short-term synoptic pattern. Uncertainty remains because small shifts in the position of the upper-level high or residual marine stratus could cap readings in the mid-80s, explaining why lower bins retain modest probabilities. Updated model cycles and official National Weather Service briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as the event approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on June 15?
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 13%
92-93°F 8.8%
83°F or below
2%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 13%
92-93°F 8.8%
83°F or below
2%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Seattle's June 15 high temperature centers on the 88–91°F range, with 90–91°F holding the highest implied probability at 40.5% and 88–89°F at 29.5%.** This positioning reflects recent numerical weather prediction model runs that indicate a building thermal trough or ridge-induced offshore flow, allowing warmer continental air to reach the Puget Sound region and reduce the typical marine layer cooling. Forecast guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and ensemble models consistently points to daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 80s, with some solutions reaching the low 90s if downslope warming and clear skies maximize insolation on the 15th. Historical June averages near 74°F provide context, while broader NOAA outlooks for above-normal temperatures across the Pacific Northwest this summer add supporting background without overriding the short-term synoptic pattern. Uncertainty remains because small shifts in the position of the upper-level high or residual marine stratus could cap readings in the mid-80s, explaining why lower bins retain modest probabilities. Updated model cycles and official National Weather Service briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as the event approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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