Recent forecasts from National Weather Service and private models indicate Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) will reach a daily maximum near 84–86 °F on June 14 under building high pressure and reduced onshore flow, placing the 86–89 °F bins at the center of trader pricing. These values sit at or just above the 1988 record of 86 °F, with model consensus showing limited marine-layer recovery and afternoon temperatures peaking in the late afternoon. The modest probability mass on 90–91 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute warming from downslope winds, while sub-84 °F outcomes remain discounted given current 500-hPa ridging and observed early-June heat anomalies. Updated model runs and official observations through midday will determine whether the market tilts further toward the upper-80s or settles near the lower end of the favored range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on June 14?
88-89°F 50%
86-87°F 36%
90-91°F 5.1%
84-85°F 3.5%
$16,562 KL.
$16,562 KL.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
50%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 50%
86-87°F 36%
90-91°F 5.1%
84-85°F 3.5%
$16,562 KL.
$16,562 KL.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
50%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from National Weather Service and private models indicate Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) will reach a daily maximum near 84–86 °F on June 14 under building high pressure and reduced onshore flow, placing the 86–89 °F bins at the center of trader pricing. These values sit at or just above the 1988 record of 86 °F, with model consensus showing limited marine-layer recovery and afternoon temperatures peaking in the late afternoon. The modest probability mass on 90–91 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute warming from downslope winds, while sub-84 °F outcomes remain discounted given current 500-hPa ridging and observed early-June heat anomalies. Updated model runs and official observations through midday will determine whether the market tilts further toward the upper-80s or settles near the lower end of the favored range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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