Miami's mid-June climatology, with average overnight lows near 76°F driven by subtropical warmth and Atlantic moisture, underpins the market's concentration around 76-79°F outcomes. Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to light winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiational cooling, keeping the expected minimum in that narrow band rather than pushing toward rarer sub-74°F readings. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed thunderstorm activity that could otherwise enhance cooling, while sea surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer baseline. Traders appear to weigh the low historical variance in June minima against any late-model shifts ahead of the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 15?
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
67°F or below
$148 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$22 KL.
1%
70-71°F
$22 KL.
1%
72-73°F
$219 KL.
3%
74-75°F
$16 KL.
5%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
24%
78-79°F
$22 KL.
39%
80-81°F
$16 KL.
15%
82-83°F
$17 KL.
4%
84-85°F
$135 KL.
<1%
86°F or higher
$740 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami's mid-June climatology, with average overnight lows near 76°F driven by subtropical warmth and Atlantic moisture, underpins the market's concentration around 76-79°F outcomes. Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to light winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiational cooling, keeping the expected minimum in that narrow band rather than pushing toward rarer sub-74°F readings. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed thunderstorm activity that could otherwise enhance cooling, while sea surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer baseline. Traders appear to weigh the low historical variance in June minima against any late-model shifts ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,358Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami's mid-June climatology, with average overnight lows near 76°F driven by subtropical warmth and Atlantic moisture, underpins the market's concentration around 76-79°F outcomes. Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to light winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiational cooling, keeping the expected minimum in that narrow band rather than pushing toward rarer sub-74°F readings. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed thunderstorm activity that could otherwise enhance cooling, while sea surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer baseline. Traders appear to weigh the low historical variance in June minima against any late-model shifts ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,358Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Miami's mid-June climatology, with average overnight lows near 76°F driven by subtropical warmth and Atlantic moisture, underpins the market's concentration around 76-79°F outcomes. Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to light winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiational cooling, keeping the expected minimum in that narrow band rather than pushing toward rarer sub-74°F readings. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed thunderstorm activity that could otherwise enhance cooling, while sea surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer baseline. Traders appear to weigh the low historical variance in June minima against any late-model shifts ahead of the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp